CNN
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Nearly two-thirds of North Carolina primary voters say they want former President Donald Trump to become president if he is convicted, according to early results from a CNN exit poll of North Carolina Republican primary voters. A slightly higher percentage say they think it's a good fit, according to early results from CNN's exit poll of Republican primary voters in the state. Half of Virginia's Republican primary voters say the same thing.
In North Carolina, about 4 in 10 primary voters say they are part of MAGA, or the “Make America Great Again” movement, compared to about a third in Virginia. This is lower than the 46% who supported the MAGA slogan in the Iowa caucuses. In South Carolina, about 41% of Republican primary voters described themselves as sympathetic to MAGA, and in New Hampshire, about a third of Republican primary voters said the same.
Roughly 6 in 10 Republican primary voters in North Carolina baselessly deny that President Joe Biden's victory in the 2020 election was legitimate, as do nearly half of voters in Virginia. It is. In every state where entrance and exit polls were conducted in this year's Republican primaries, including Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina, a majority of Republican voters were willing to accept the results of the 2020 election. I couldn't.
Exit polls are a valuable tool to help understand the demographic profile and political views of key voters. However, like all surveys, exit polls are estimates, not accurate measurements of voters. This is especially true for the preliminary set of exit poll numbers, which have not yet been weighted to match the final results of the primary. However, these results give us a glimpse of what kind of voters are participating in the voting.
About three-quarters of North Carolina Republican primary voters and about six in 10 Virginia Republican primary voters say they would be satisfied if Mr. Trump wins the nomination.
In North Carolina, nearly 8 in 10 people describe themselves as conservative, and about 4 in 10 say they are very conservative. About two-thirds of Virginians describe themselves as conservative, and about 3 in 10 describe themselves as very conservative.
This puts these states somewhere between the Iowa presidential caucuses, where about half of voters said they were very conservative, and the New Hampshire primary, where only about a quarter of voters said they were very conservative. become. South Carolina's primary voters also fall between the two early states, with 40% claiming to be very conservative.
Initial exit poll results show that about 6 in 10 Republican primary voters in Virginia identify as Republicans, and about 3 in 10 call themselves independents or identify with a major party. It is said that it does not belong to either category. That's a lower percentage of Republicans than Iowa or South Carolina, but higher than New Hampshire, where only half are Republicans. As with other Republican primaries, the majority of Virginia Republican voters (nearly 9 in 10) are white.
Early exit polls show that most voters in North Carolina and Virginia had decided early on who they would support for president. About two-thirds of Virginia Republican primary voters said they made their decision before the year began, and only about 15% said they made their decision in the final week of the campaign. In North Carolina, about half of Republican primary voters have made up their minds by 2024, and about a fifth made their decision in the final week.
Exit polls for the Republican presidential primaries in North Carolina, Virginia, and California and the California Senate primary were conducted by Edison Research on behalf of the National Election Commission. The North Carolina Republican primary survey includes 1,484 interviews with Republican primary voters across 19 early voting locations and 30 different polling locations on Election Day, with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.0 for the total sample. It is a percentage point.
The Virginia Republican primary poll includes 1,196 interviews with Republican primary voters at 30 different polling places on election day, with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.0 percentage points for the total sample. There is. The California Republican Party primary survey includes 585 interviews conducted before Election Day, February 25 to March 3, to contact selected respondents from voter files. It uses phone calls, emails, and text messages, and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.0 percentage points. complete sample. The California Senate primary poll includes 1,408 interviews conducted before Election Day, February 25 to March 3, to contact selected respondents from the voter file. It uses phone calls, emails, and text messages, and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.0 percentage points. complete sample.
This story has been updated with additional information.