- The latest New York Times/Siena College poll shows Trump leading Biden among likely voters, 48% to 44%.
- The numbers show that Biden is lagging not only with his 2020 supporters but also with female voters.
- Biden will also need to overcome doubts about the economy, as polls show 50% of voters say the economy is “poor.”
With the general election just eight months away, President Joe Biden remains in limbo as he continues to lag former President Donald Trump in a rematch of voters, according to the latest New York Times/Siena poll. I am in a position.
As Biden's polling struggles, two important things stand out in the Times-Siena poll. Mr. Biden is now losing the group of supporters who supported him in the 2020 election and is effectively tied with Mr. Trump among women, a key group that supported Mr. Biden with 11 votes. It is. Point of the year.
Overall, Mr. Trump led Mr. Biden among likely voters, 48% to 44%, according to the Times-Siena poll.
Additionally, former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley has been campaigning in the primary campaign against Trump, arguing that the party needs new leadership but failing to gain support from many Republican voters. Despite this, 97% of voters who supported the former president in 2020 say they support Trump. Research shows that this year will be no different.
However, polls show that Mr. Biden retains only 85% of voters who supported him in the 2020 presidential election, and 9% of the president's 2020 supporters intend to support Mr. Trump this fall. It shows.
In potentially close elections in a small number of battleground states, even a small defection or a surge in support can be the deciding factor for each candidate.
Women who supported Biden in 2020 by a 55% to 44% margin joined Democratic candidates nationwide in voting for Biden when the party took control of the House that year and regained the Senate majority in January 2021. It was the key to the election.
The Times-Siena poll found Trump leading Biden among likely women among likely voters, 47% to 46%. Meanwhile, men favored Trump over Biden, 49% to 42%.
One of Biden's biggest challenges in this election is his message on the economy. The president has touted strong job growth and low unemployment, but inflation has eaten into Americans' wallets for much of the coronavirus pandemic, and many voters remain pessimistic about the country's economic fate. doing.
A Times/Siena poll found that 50% of likely voters rated the economy as “poor,” but only 28% rated it as “good” or “excellent.” Just over one in five voters (22%) rated the economy as “only fair.”
But there were some bright spots in Biden's polls.
He held a 13-point lead (54% to 41%) with voters ages 18 to 29, who have been particularly critical of his handling of the Israel-Hamas war. But Biden will still need to work to regain ground with this group, as he was favored by this group by a 24-point margin (60% to 36%) in 2020.
The poll also showed Biden leading among suburban voters, a key group that plays a key role in moving the polls up and down.
Among this group, Biden led Trump among likely voters, 47% to 44%.
